Signal Comparison

RIVN vs TSLA — Signal Comparison

SPY regime: 🟢 Bull RegimeT1 win rate this regime: 55%
Verdict

As of May 30, 2026, RIVN has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 2 (SCTR 10.3, bull regime) vs TSLA which has no active signal (SCTR 5.7). RIVN's T1 setup has a 55% historical win rate in bull regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is bull.

RIVNBull Count 2
$16.30
SCTR Score
10.3
Bullish (>9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Extended
9.07
Win Rate
55%
T1 · bull regime
Buy Trigger$15.37
+1 ATR Target$15.93
Stop Level$15.03
Full RIVN analysis →
TSLANo Active Signal
$435.79
SCTR Score
5.7
Neutral (4–9)
Trend
Confirmed
Confirmed Bull
Ext Score
Extended
9.09
Win Rate
Buy Trigger$445.64
+1 ATR Target$457.08
Stop Level$438.56
Full TSLA analysis →

RIVN vs TSLA — Comparison Table

MetricRIVNTSLA
Price$16.30$435.79
Change %
SCTR Score10.35.7
SignalBull Count 2No Active Signal
TrendConfirmed BullConfirmed Bull
Ext ScoreExtendedExtended
Trigger Price$15.37$445.64

How EdgeOS Signals Work for Stock Comparison

EdgeOS (Edge Operating System) scans ~3,000 liquid US equities on the daily timeframe using the SCTR score (Stock Chart Technical Rank, 0–100) as the primary momentum filter. A T1 ignition fires when: (1) the bull counter crosses from 0 to 1, (2) SCTR is above 9, and (3) price closes above the Saty ATR +0.236 trigger level. This combination produced a 55% win rate in bull regimes across 799,000 signals over 7 years.

When comparing two stocks, SCTR matters for ranking — not as a hard entry gate. The 7-year backtest showed that lower SCTR stocks in confirmed bull trends outperform high-SCTR stocks (18.7% vs 14.7% progression rate to the +1 ATR target). SCTR measures accumulated momentum, while the signal itself measures the timing of the momentum shift.

The extension score is critical for comparing two active signals: a Tight (0–0.4) extension means the stock is near its Saty ATR baseline with room to run, while an Extended (>1.2) score indicates the stock has moved far from equilibrium and carries higher risk. When both RIVN and TSLA have active signals, prefer the one with a lower extension score.

Frequently Asked Questions — RIVN vs TSLA

Which is a better buy, RIVN or TSLA?
As of May 30, 2026, RIVN has a stronger EdgeOS setup with a Bull Count 2 (SCTR 10.3, bull regime) vs TSLA which has no active signal (SCTR 5.7). RIVN's T1 setup has a 55% historical win rate in bull regimes (799k signals, 7-year backtest). The current SPY regime is bull.
What is RIVN's current trading signal?
RIVN currently has a Bull Count 2 signal on the daily timeframe. SCTR is 10.3 (Bullish (>9)). Trend: Confirmed Bull. Buy trigger $15.37 · Target $15.93 · Stop $15.03.
What is TSLA's SCTR score?
TSLA's SCTR score is 5.7. Between 4 and 9 — neutral zone. No strong directional momentum.
What is the historical win rate for T1 signals?
T1 ignition signals have a 55% win rate in bull regimes, 44% in choppy markets, and 38% in bear regimes, based on 799,000 signals from a 7-year backtest. The current SPY regime is 🟢 Bull Regime, so the adjusted T1 win rate is 55%. These numbers apply when entering within 1% of the buy trigger price with proper stop placement below the lower trigger level.

Signal data updated every 5 minutes from live EdgeOS scans · For informational purposes only · Not investment advice · Past performance does not guarantee future results.